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Smart Investors Daily
TM

NASDAQ · TM

Toyota Motor Corporation

Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers

$195.47

Down-$0.37 (-0.19%)

Updated Sep 16, 2026, 3:46 PM

SID Score

7.3/10

Composite research score

Smart Money

64/100

Neutral

Market cap
265.38B
P/E ratio
9.94
Dividend yield
3.31%
52-week range
$166.10 – $248.90
Volume
241.3K
Avg. volume
289.84K

Price performance

TM price history

1M range · 20 trading sessions · Daily adjusted prices

TM closed at $195.47 after 20 trading sessions, up 3.84% for the selected period.

Last close
$195.47
Period change
+3.84%
Period low
$188.25
Period high
$199.87
Daily close
View OHLC price history
TM OHLC price history, latest 40 sessions
DateOpenHighLowCloseVolume
Sep 15, 2026$196.63$196.63$195.135$195.47241.3K
Sep 14, 2026$196.79$197.62$195.79$197.56309.41K
Sep 11, 2026$197.32$198.93$197.32$198.20392.58K
Sep 10, 2026$192.00$193.30$191.8303$192.48309.36K
Sep 9, 2026$192.74$194.19$190.92$190.97331.14K
Sep 8, 2026$193.995$193.995$191.345$191.45424.38K
Sep 4, 2026$197.00$197.9994$196.10$197.11341.25K
Sep 3, 2026$200.00$200.86$199.209$199.87314.08K
Sep 2, 2026$196.08$198.605$196.08$198.30256.09K
Sep 1, 2026$198.95$200.50$197.955$198.05532.77K
Aug 31, 2026$197.32$198.50$196.32$196.54446.33K
Aug 28, 2026$196.08$196.51$192.55$194.48427.85K
Aug 27, 2026$192.50$193.76$191.71$192.00311.52K
Aug 26, 2026$192.80$193.08$191.50$191.84259.6K
Aug 25, 2026$192.59$193.4356$191.65$192.95283.04K
Aug 24, 2026$196.48$196.55$193.54$193.81329.37K
Aug 21, 2026$196.63$198.00$196.63$197.35369.07K
Aug 20, 2026$191.00$192.45$190.25$192.24412.2K
Aug 19, 2026$187.50$190.075$187.19$188.78329.41K
Aug 18, 2026$189.59$190.095$188.24$188.25286.06K

Latest TM news

The latest Smart Investors Daily articles mentioning TM.

TM research

Overview

Company profile and research snapshot.

Company profile

Founded in 1937, Toyota is one of the world's largest automakers, with 11.0 million units sold at retail in fiscal 2025, including 10.3 million across the Toyota and Lexus brands. Brands include Toyota, Lexus, Daihatsu, and truck maker Hino; market share in Japan is about 50% excluding mini-vehicles, while US share is around 14%. The firm also owns stakes in Denso, a parts supplier, about 20% of Subaru, and holds investments in many other firms, including shares of Uber Technologies, Joby Aviation, Aurora Innovation, Isuzu Motors, and about 5% in each of Mazda and Suzuki. Fiscal 2025 sales excluding financial services were JPY 43.8 trillion. Toyota also has a financing arm and manufactures homes and boats.

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Analyst outlook

Consensus and target data currently published for this company.

Consensus
Buy
Average target
$179.41
Implied upside
Analysts
26
TM recent ratings
DateFirmRatingTarget
Mar 31, 2020UBSBuy
Sep 5, 2019Morgan StanleyUnderweight
Nov 19, 2018JP MorganOverweight
Jun 4, 2018Goldman SachsBuy
Mar 1, 2018Bank of AmericaNeutral
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News briefing

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Yahoo · Sep 15, 2026

Is Toyota Motor (TSE:7203) Overvalued On Its Connected Vehicle Push?

Toyota Motor (TSE:7203) has been in focus after a live demo with Iridium Communications and Deutsche Telekom IoT showed a Toyota vehicle sending a standards-based NB-IoT voice message entirely over a low Earth orbit satellite network. For investors watching the ticker, Toyota Motor’s share price has been relatively resilient, with a 90-day share price return of 7.51% and a 1-year total shareholder return of 6.09%. However, the year-to-date share price has declined 11.12%, suggesting longer...

AI research layers

Interpretive context generated from the platform’s current data sources.

Toyota Motor Corporation Stock Performance

Toyota Motor Corporation shares trade at $195.47, reflecting a 4.69% gain over the past month and a 12.92% gain over the trailing three months, per SID market data. Despite this recent momentum, the stock remains down 1.9% on a one-year basis, indicating a broader recovery trajectory rather than sustained upward movement. Technically, TM trades above its 50-day moving average of $187.48 but below its 200-day moving average of $202.57, suggesting the stock has reclaimed short-term support while still facing longer-term resistance. The 14-day RSI stands at 57.0, placing shares in neutral territory without overbought or oversold conditions. Toyota carries a beta of 0.227, according to Massive/Polygon data, reflecting significantly lower volatility than the broader market. The company's market capitalization stands at approximately $265.4 billion, with average daily trading volume of roughly 289,839 shares.

Toyota Motor Corporation Valuation Analysis

Toyota Motor Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.94, per SID market data, positioning the automaker well below the Consumer Cyclical sector average and reflecting a value-oriented profile relative to global peers. The company's price-to-book ratio stands at 1.18, according to SEC filings, indicating shares trade only modestly above book value and suggesting limited premium embedded in the current price. Toyota's PEG ratio registers at negative 1.04, which reflects anticipated earnings contraction in forward estimates rather than traditional growth-adjusted valuation metrics. The company offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.92%, providing meaningful income for shareholders and reinforcing Toyota's capital return framework. At a market capitalization of $265.4 billion, Toyota remains one of the largest global automakers by valuation. The combination of a sub-10 P/E ratio and above-book pricing reflects a balance between earnings generation capacity and measured market expectations for the company's forward trajectory.

Smart Money Activity for TM

Toyota Motor Corporation registers a smart money score of 64 out of 100 with a neutral overall signal, per SID market data. The insider activity component scores a robust 22.0 out of 25, driven by 20 insider transactions recorded over the past 90 days, all of which were purchases with zero insider sales, according to SEC Form 4 filings. This unanimous buying pattern among corporate insiders represents a notable directional signal. Institutional positioning scores 21.5 out of 25, indicating strong conviction from large asset managers and pension funds tracked through 13F institutional filings. However, the dark pool activity score of 8.5 out of 25 suggests relatively muted off-exchange block trading interest, potentially reflecting limited near-term repositioning by large institutional participants. Congressional trading activity scores 12 out of 25, representing moderate engagement from members of Congress. The divergence between strong insider and institutional signals versus weaker dark pool activity contributes to the overall neutral composite reading despite clear bullish insider behavior.

Toyota Motor Corporation Earnings Outlook

Toyota Motor Corporation faces a series of upcoming earnings reports with consensus analyst estimates currently set at $5.33 per share across multiple forward quarters, according to analyst estimates compiled by SID. The earliest projected report date falls on August 6, 2026, with subsequent reports scheduled through August 18, 2026, reflecting Toyota's fiscal year reporting calendar which differs from the standard U.S. calendar year. No actual results have been posted for these periods yet. The uniform $5.33 estimate across all four quarters suggests analysts have not yet differentiated seasonal or cyclical variations in their forward models. Given the company's current P/E ratio of 9.94, per company earnings reports, the market is pricing Toyota at a discount relative to broader indices. The negative PEG ratio of -1.04 embedded in current data indicates Wall Street models incorporate potential earnings pressure, possibly tied to EV transition costs, competitive dynamics, and global automotive demand uncertainty.

Wall Street Analyst Ratings for TM

Wall Street coverage of Toyota Motor Corporation reflects a generally constructive stance based on historical rating actions, per Wall Street analyst reports. UBS upgraded TM to Buy from Neutral in March 2020, representing the most recent major rating change in the available dataset. JP Morgan previously upgraded shares to Overweight from Neutral in November 2018, while Goldman Sachs issued a similar upgrade to Buy from Neutral in June 2018, according to SID consensus data. Bank of America raised its rating to Neutral from Underperform in March 2018, reflecting improved sentiment at the time. The lone bearish action came from Morgan Stanley, which downgraded TM to Underweight from Equal-Weight in September 2019. Three of the five most recent analyst actions were upgrades to buy-equivalent ratings, suggesting majority positive sentiment among major global investment banks. With shares trading at a P/E of 9.94 and a dividend yield of 2.92%, the valuation metrics align with the constructive analyst positioning documented in the rating history.